(a) 2x exp(-x2) , x > 0
p(x) = {
0 , x < 0
Solution:
F(x) = int -infinity to x p(x) dx
= int 0 to x 2x exp{-x2 } dx
= int 0 to x exp{-x2 } dx2
= 1 - exp(-x2)x = F-1(xi) = [ - ln( 1 - xi ) ]1/2 = [ - ln xi ]1/2
(b) exp(-x)/[ 1 + exp(-x) ] , x > 0
p(x) = {
0 , x < 0
Solution:
F(x) = int -infinity to x p(x) dx
= int 0 to x exp(-x) / [ 1 + exp(-x) ] dx
= - int 0 to x 1/[ 1 + exp(-x) ] d exp(-x)
= ln 2 - ln [1 + exp(-x) ]x = F-1(xi) = - ln( 2e-xi - 1)
(c) x exp(-x) , x > 0
p(x) = {
0 , x < 0
Solution:
F(x) = int -infinity to x p(x) dx
= int 0 to x x exp{-x } dx
= - int 0 to x x d exp{-x }
= - x exp{-x } + int 0 to x exp{-x } dx
= 1 - ( x + 1 )exp(-x)xi = 1 - ( x + 1 ) exp(-x)
This function can not be solved analytically. It needs to
solved numerically. Write a C-code to do this.
(a) int 0 to infinity 2x exp(-x2)
Solution:
Monte Carlo estimator:
G = int g(X) p(X) dXGN = sum i=1 to N g(Xi) / N
Monte Carlo error:
sigma2 ~
N/(N - 1){1/N sum i=1 to N g2(Xi) -
(1/N sum i=1 to N g(Xi))2}
g(x) = 2x
GN = sum i=1 to N 2 Xi / N
sigma2 ~
N/(N - 1){1/N sum i=1 to N 4 Xi2 -
(1/N sum i=1 to N 2Xi)2}
(b) int 0 to infinity exp(-x)/[ 1 + exp(-x) ]
Solution:g(x) = 1/ [ 1 + exp(-x) ]sigma2 ~GN = sum i=1 to N [ 1 + exp(-Xi) ]-1 / N
N/(N - 1){1/N sum i=1 to N [ 1+ exp(-Xi) ]-2 -
(1/N sum i=1 to N [ 1 + exp(-Xi) ]-1)2}(c) int 0 to infinity x exp(-x)
Solution:
Monte Carlo estimator:
g(x) = xGN = sum i=1 to N Xi / N
sigma2 ~
N/(N - 1){1/N sum i=1 to N Xi2 -
(1/N sum i=1 to N Xi)2}
W(2 to 1) = 1/6, W(2 to 2) = 1/2,
W(2 to 3) = 1/3
W(3 to 1)=0, W(3 to 2)=2/3, W(3 to 3) = 1/3
(a)
Show that the solution for the probabilities is:
P1 = 1/10, P2 = 6/10, P3=3/10
(b)
Use P0=(1,0,0) as the initial distribution,
how fast the system converges to the equilibrium
probability distribution?
Solution:
(a)
0 1 0
W = 1/6 1/2 1/3
0 2/3 1/3
P = ( P1, P2, P3)
P = P W
P1 = 0 + 1/6P2 + 0
P2 = P1 + 1/2 P2 + 2/3 P3
P3 = 0 + 1/3 P2 + 1/3 P3
P1 + P2 + P3 = 1
which gives: P1 = 1/10, P2 = 6/10, P3=3/10
(b)
P0 = (1, 0, 0)
P1 = P0 W = (0, 1, 0)
P2 = P1 W = (1/6, 1/2, 1/6)
P3 = P2 W = (1/12, 19/36, 2/9) = (0.08, 0.52, 0.22)
P4 = P3 W = ....
W(1 to 2) = 1, W(2 to 1) = W(2 to 3) = W(3 to 2) = W(3 to 3) = 1/2, and W(1 to 3) = W(3 to 1) = W(1 to 1) = W(2 to 2) = 0.(a) Is the Markov chain specified by the above transition
(b) Calculate
the equilibrium probability distribution Pi,
where i = 1,2,,3.
(c) Does
the equilibrium distribution satisfy detailed balance
condition?
Solution:(a)
0 1 0(b)
W = 1/2 0 1/2
0 1/2 1/2
1/2 0 1/2
W2 = 0 3/4 1/4
1/4 1/4 1/2
0 3/4 1/4
W3 = 3/8 1/8 1/2
1/8 1/2 3/8
W4 = nonzero matrix.
Thus the Markov chain is ergodic.
Equilibrium distribution P=(P1, P2, P3) satisfies the equation:(c)P = P W
which gives:
P1 = 0 + 1/2 P2 + 0
P2 = P1 + 0 + 1/2 P3
P3 = 0 + 1/2 P2 + 1/2 P3In addition there is the condition:
P1+P2+P3 = 1
From these equations P can be solved.
Detailed balance condition:
P(X') W(X' to X) = P(X) W(X to X')
Check whether P1, P2, P3 satisfies:
Pi W(i, j) = Pj W(j, i)If yes, then P satisfies the detailed balance condition.